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| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Columbus Crew | 22 | 4 | 30 |
| 6 | Orlando City | 23 | -6 | 30 |
| 7 | New England Revolution | 22 | -2 | 27 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Houston Dynamo | 24 | -8 | 28 |
| 6 | New England Revolution | 22 | -2 | 27 |
| 7 | Chicago Fire | 23 | -4 | 27 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 42.11%. A win for New England Revolution had a probability of 33.51% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.19%) and 2-0 (6.45%). The likeliest New England Revolution win was 1-2 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Orlando City | Draw | New England Revolution |
42.11% ( -0.01) | 24.38% ( -0) | 33.51% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 59.38% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.7% ( 0.01) | 43.3% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.3% ( 0.01) | 65.7% ( -0.01) |
| Orlando City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.31% ( -0) | 20.69% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 46.71% ( -0.01) | 53.29% ( 0.01) |
| New England Revolution Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.87% ( 0.02) | 25.13% ( -0.01) |
