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| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | CF Montreal | 17 | 5 | 29 |
| 4 | New England Revolution | 17 | 1 | 24 |
| 5 | Columbus Crew | 16 | 2 | 21 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Orlando City | 17 | -3 | 25 |
| 6 | FC Cincinnati | 17 | 2 | 24 |
| 7 | New England Revolution | 17 | 1 | 24 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 66.24%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 14.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.43%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.2%), while for a FC Cincinnati win it was 0-1 (4.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| New England Revolution | Draw | FC Cincinnati |
66.24% ( -1.05) | 19.43% ( 0.52) | 14.33% ( 0.52) |
| Both teams to score 51.68% ( -0.41) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.14% ( -1.25) | 41.86% ( 1.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.73% ( -1.27) | 64.26% ( 1.27) |
| New England Revolution Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.22% ( -0.64) | 11.77% ( 0.64) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 63.04% ( -1.39) | 36.96% ( 1.38) |
| FC Cincinnati Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.57% ( -0.04) | 41.43% ( 0.04) |
