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| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | New England Revolution | 16 | 1 | 23 |
| 7 | FC Cincinnati | 15 | 1 | 20 |
| 8 | Atlanta United | 14 | 5 | 19 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | New York Red Bulls | 16 | 7 | 26 |
| 4 | Orlando City | 16 | -2 | 25 |
| 5 | CF Montreal | 15 | 1 | 23 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 38.91%. A win for Orlando City had a probability of 34.43% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Orlando City win was 0-1 (9.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for FC Cincinnati in this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Cincinnati | Draw | Orlando City |
38.91% ( 1.81) | 26.66% ( -0.36) | 34.43% ( -1.44) |
| Both teams to score 51.85% ( 1.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.89% ( 1.36) | 53.11% ( -1.36) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.31% ( 1.15) | 74.69% ( -1.14) |
| FC Cincinnati Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.34% ( 1.68) | 26.65% ( -1.68) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.1% ( 2.17) | 61.89% ( -2.17) |
| Orlando City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.69% ( -0.23) | 29.3% ( 0.23) |
