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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a DC United win with a probability of 45.8%. A win for Toronto had a probability of 28.87% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a DC United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (7.93%). The likeliest Toronto win was 0-1 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| DC United | Draw | Toronto |
45.8% ( -0.49) | 25.33% ( 0.13) | 28.87% ( 0.36) |
| Both teams to score 53.91% ( -0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.55% ( -0.37) | 49.45% ( 0.37) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.51% ( -0.33) | 71.49% ( 0.33) |
| DC United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.41% ( -0.37) | 21.59% ( 0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.31% ( -0.57) | 54.69% ( 0.57) |
| Toronto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.76% ( 0.07) | 31.24% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.41% ( 0.09) | 67.59% ( -0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| DC United | Draw | Toronto |
| 1-0 @ 10.33% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.22% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 7.93% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 4.71% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 4.05% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 2.74% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.81% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 1.55% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.05% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.41% Total : 45.8% | 1-1 @ 12.03% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 6.75% ( 0.1)2-2 @ 5.36% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.33% | 0-1 @ 7.85% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 7% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 4.57% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 2.71% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.08% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.77% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.89% Total : 28.87% |
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