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| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Toronto | 14 | -6 | 15 |
| 8 | DC United | 13 | -7 | 14 |
| 9 | Sporting Kansas City | 15 | -9 | 13 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | New England Revolution | 13 | -1 | 16 |
| 7 | Toronto | 14 | -6 | 15 |
| 8 | DC United | 13 | -7 | 14 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a DC United win with a probability of 51.71%. A win for Toronto had a probability of 24.4% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a DC United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.69%) and 2-0 (8.8%). The likeliest Toronto win was 0-1 (6.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| DC United | Draw | Toronto |
51.71% ( -2.19) | 23.89% ( 0.54) | 24.4% ( 1.65) |
| Both teams to score 54.72% ( 0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.41% ( -0.67) | 46.59% ( 0.67) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.14% ( -0.64) | 68.86% ( 0.63) |
| DC United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.98% ( -1.06) | 18.02% ( 1.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 51.1% ( -1.85) | 48.89% ( 1.85) |
| Toronto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.75% ( 1.08) | 33.25% ( -1.08) |
