SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris FC win with a probability of 40.46%. A win for Pau had a probability of 30.94% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris FC win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.07%) and 0-2 (7.86%). The likeliest Pau win was 1-0 (10.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Paris FC in this match.
| Result | ||
| Pau | Draw | Paris FC |
30.94% ( -0.04) | 28.6% ( 0.01) | 40.46% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 45.22% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.96% ( -0.05) | 61.04% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.97% ( -0.04) | 81.02% ( 0.04) |
| Pau Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.2% ( -0.05) | 35.79% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 27.43% ( -0.06) | 72.57% ( 0.06) |
| Paris FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.43% ( -0.01) | 29.56% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.4% ( -0.01) | 65.59% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Pau | Draw | Paris FC |
| 1-0 @ 10.87% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 6.81% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 5.59% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 2.33% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.91% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.42% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.01% Total : 30.93% | 1-1 @ 13.24% 0-0 @ 10.58% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4.15% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.62% Total : 28.59% | 0-1 @ 12.89% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 8.07% 0-2 @ 7.86% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.28% ( -0)0-3 @ 3.19% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.68% ( -0)1-4 @ 1% 0-4 @ 0.97% ( 0)Other @ 1.51% Total : 40.45% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Le HavreLe Havre | 22 | 13 | 8 | 1 | 32 | 9 | 23 | 47 |
| 2 | Sochaux | 22 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 36 | 20 | 16 | 39 |
| 3 | Bordeaux | 22 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 31 | 16 | 15 | 39 |
| 4 | Grenoble | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 36 |
| 5 | Bastia | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 34 |
| 6 | Metz | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 33 | 24 | 9 | 33 |
| 7 | AmiensAmiens | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 26 | 22 | 4 | 33 |
| 8 | Caen | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 32 |
| 9 | Quevilly | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 27 | 25 | 2 | 31 |
| 10 | Valenciennes | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 29 |
| 11 | Annecy | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 28 |
| 12 | Paris FCParis FC | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 28 |
| 13 | GuingampGuingamp | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 26 | 31 | -5 | 27 |
| 14 | Laval | 22 | 8 | 3 | 11 | 27 | 34 | -7 | 27 |
| 15 | PauPau | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 26 |
| 16 | Nimes | 22 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 22 | 33 | -11 | 22 |
| 17 | Dijon | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 21 |
| 18 | Rodez AFRodez AF | 22 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 19 | 29 | -10 | 20 |
| 19 | NiortNiort | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 19 | 35 | -16 | 20 |
| 20 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 28 | 36 | -8 | 18 |
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