SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pau win with a probability of 42.81%. A win for Nimes had a probability of 30.68% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pau win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.8%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest Nimes win was 0-1 (9.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Pau in this match.
| Result | ||
| Pau | Draw | Nimes |
42.81% ( -0.03) | 26.51% ( -0.01) | 30.68% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 51.19% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.56% ( 0.04) | 53.44% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.04% ( 0.03) | 74.97% ( -0.03) |
| Pau Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.27% ( 0) | 24.74% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 40.71% ( 0) | 59.29% |
| Nimes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.02% ( 0.05) | 31.98% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 31.56% ( 0.05) | 68.45% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Pau | Draw | Nimes |
| 1-0 @ 11.05% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.8% ( -0)2-0 @ 7.72% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.1% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.59% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.34% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.43% 4-0 @ 1.26% ( -0)Other @ 2.53% Total : 42.81% | 1-1 @ 12.59% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.91% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.02% ( 0)Other @ 0.98% Total : 26.5% | 0-1 @ 9.02% ( -0) 1-2 @ 7.18% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.14% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.73% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.95% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.91% ( 0)Other @ 2.75% Total : 30.68% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Le HavreLe Havre | 33 | 18 | 14 | 1 | 43 | 15 | 28 | 68 |
| 2 | Bordeaux | 33 | 18 | 8 | 7 | 47 | 26 | 21 | 62 |
| 3 | Metz | 33 | 16 | 11 | 6 | 52 | 29 | 23 | 59 |
| 4 | Bastia | 33 | 15 | 8 | 10 | 40 | 36 | 4 | 53 |
| 5 | Sochaux | 32 | 15 | 7 | 10 | 52 | 31 | 21 | 52 |
| 6 | Caen | 33 | 14 | 10 | 9 | 43 | 36 | 7 | 52 |
| 7 | Grenoble | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 50 |
| 8 | GuingampGuingamp | 33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 43 | 42 | 1 | 45 |
| 9 | Quevilly | 33 | 11 | 12 | 10 | 37 | 36 | 1 | 45 |
| 10 | Paris FCParis FC | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 40 | 41 | -1 | 44 |
| 11 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 51 | 49 | 2 | 43 |
| 12 | Rodez AFRodez AF | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 35 | 39 | -4 | 41 |
| 13 | AmiensAmiens | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 34 | 43 | -9 | 41 |
| 14 | PauPau | 33 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 30 | 39 | -9 | 40 |
| 15 | Valenciennes | 33 | 8 | 13 | 12 | 35 | 43 | -8 | 37 |
| 16 | Annecy | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 34 | 47 | -13 | 37 |
| 17 | Laval | 33 | 10 | 4 | 19 | 36 | 50 | -14 | 34 |
| 18 | Nimes | 33 | 9 | 5 | 19 | 35 | 50 | -15 | 32 |
| 19 | Dijon | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 29 | 39 | -10 | 31 |
| 20 | NiortNiort | 33 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 28 | 55 | -27 | 27 |
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