SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint-Etienne win with a probability of 47.58%. A win for Paris FC had a probability of 26.38% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saint-Etienne win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.19%) and 2-0 (8.86%). The likeliest Paris FC win was 0-1 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Saint-Etienne | Draw | Paris FC |
47.58% ( 0.09) | 26.03% ( -0.08) | 26.38% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 49.96% ( 0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.24% ( 0.3) | 53.76% ( -0.3) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.76% ( 0.25) | 75.24% ( -0.25) |
| Saint-Etienne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.4% ( 0.17) | 22.6% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 43.79% ( 0.25) | 56.2% ( -0.25) |
| Paris FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.54% ( 0.15) | 35.46% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 27.78% ( 0.16) | 72.22% ( -0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Saint-Etienne | Draw | Paris FC |
| 1-0 @ 11.91% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 9.19% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 8.86% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 4.56% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 4.39% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.36% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.69% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.63% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.98% Total : 47.58% | 1-1 @ 12.35% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 8.01% ( -0.09)2-2 @ 4.76% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.9% Total : 26.03% | 0-1 @ 8.31% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 6.41% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.31% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.21% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.65% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.49% ( 0)Other @ 2.02% Total : 26.38% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Le HavreLe Havre | 30 | 16 | 13 | 1 | 40 | 14 | 26 | 61 |
| 2 | Bordeaux | 30 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 42 | 23 | 19 | 56 |
| 3 | Sochaux | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 49 | 26 | 23 | 52 |
| 4 | Metz | 30 | 14 | 10 | 6 | 45 | 27 | 18 | 52 |
| 5 | Bastia | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 35 | 34 | 1 | 48 |
| 6 | Grenoble | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 30 | 25 | 5 | 47 |
| 7 | Caen | 30 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 37 | 32 | 5 | 46 |
| 8 | Quevilly | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 33 | 32 | 1 | 42 |
| 9 | Paris FCParis FC | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 35 | 37 | -2 | 40 |
| 10 | AmiensAmiens | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 32 | 37 | -5 | 40 |
| 11 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 47 | 45 | 2 | 39 |
| 12 | GuingampGuingamp | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 36 | 38 | -2 | 39 |
| 13 | Rodez AFRodez AF | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 30 | 38 | -8 | 34 |
| 14 | PauPau | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 23 | 33 | -10 | 34 |
| 15 | Valenciennes | 29 | 7 | 12 | 10 | 32 | 39 | -7 | 33 |
| 16 | Annecy | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 30 | 38 | -8 | 33 |
| 17 | Laval | 30 | 9 | 4 | 17 | 33 | 45 | -12 | 31 |
| 18 | Dijon | 30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 29 |
| 19 | Nimes | 30 | 8 | 5 | 17 | 32 | 44 | -12 | 29 |
| 20 | NiortNiort | 30 | 7 | 5 | 18 | 27 | 51 | -24 | 26 |
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