SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Le Havre win with a probability of 37.53%. A win for Paris FC had a probability of 33.82% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Le Havre win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.77%) and 2-0 (7.11%). The likeliest Paris FC win was 0-1 (11.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Le Havre | Draw | Paris FC |
37.53% ( 1.26) | 28.65% ( -0.42) | 33.82% ( -0.84) |
| Both teams to score 45.77% ( 1.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.32% ( 1.38) | 60.68% ( -1.38) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.24% ( 1.03) | 80.75% ( -1.02) |
| Le Havre Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.87% ( 1.5) | 31.13% ( -1.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 32.54% ( 1.72) | 67.46% ( -1.72) |
| Paris FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.46% ( 0.15) | 33.54% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 29.82% ( 0.16) | 70.18% ( -0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Le Havre | Draw | Paris FC |
| 1-0 @ 12.18% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 7.77% ( 0.27)2-0 @ 7.11% ( 0.22)3-1 @ 3.02% ( 0.22)3-0 @ 2.77% ( 0.19)3-2 @ 1.65% ( 0.13)Other @ 3.03% Total : 37.52% | 1-1 @ 13.31% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 10.44% ( -0.55)2-2 @ 4.24% ( 0.16)Other @ 0.65% Total : 28.64% | 0-1 @ 11.4% ( -0.56) 1-2 @ 7.27% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 6.23% ( -0.28)1-3 @ 2.65% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.27% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 1.55% ( 0.07)Other @ 2.45% Total : 33.82% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Le HavreLe Havre | 28 | 15 | 12 | 1 | 39 | 14 | 25 | 57 |
| 2 | Bordeaux | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 39 | 23 | 16 | 50 |
| 3 | Sochaux | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 44 | 23 | 21 | 49 |
| 4 | Metz | 28 | 13 | 9 | 6 | 43 | 26 | 17 | 48 |
| 5 | Bastia | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 45 |
| 6 | Caen | 28 | 11 | 10 | 7 | 34 | 29 | 5 | 43 |
| 7 | Grenoble | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 27 | 24 | 3 | 41 |
| 8 | Quevilly | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 31 | 30 | 1 | 39 |
| 9 | GuingampGuingamp | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 36 | 37 | -1 | 38 |
| 10 | AmiensAmiens | 28 | 10 | 7 | 11 | 30 | 35 | -5 | 37 |
| 11 | Paris FCParis FC | 28 | 10 | 7 | 11 | 28 | 29 | -1 | 37 |
| 12 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 41 | 43 | -2 | 33 |
| 13 | Annecy | 28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 30 | 34 | -4 | 33 |
| 14 | Valenciennes | 28 | 7 | 12 | 9 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 33 |
| 15 | PauPau | 28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 22 | 31 | -9 | 33 |
| 16 | Laval | 28 | 9 | 4 | 15 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 31 |
| 17 | Rodez AFRodez AF | 28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 29 | 37 | -8 | 31 |
| 18 | Nimes | 28 | 7 | 5 | 16 | 28 | 43 | -15 | 26 |
| 19 | NiortNiort | 28 | 7 | 5 | 16 | 27 | 46 | -19 | 26 |
| 20 | Dijon | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 24 | 34 | -10 | 26 |
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