SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Angers win with a probability of 52.46%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Troyes had a probability of 22.56%.
The most likely scoreline for an Angers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.91%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.85%), while for a Troyes win it was 0-1 (7.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Angers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Angers | Draw | Troyes |
52.46% ( 0.02) | 24.97% ( -0.01) | 22.56% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 49.29% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.25% ( 0.04) | 52.74% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.62% ( 0.03) | 74.38% ( -0.04) |
| Angers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.91% ( 0.02) | 20.09% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 47.66% ( 0.04) | 52.33% ( -0.04) |
| Troyes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.68% ( 0.02) | 38.31% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 24.93% ( 0.02) | 75.07% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Angers | Draw | Troyes |
| 1-0 @ 12.35% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.91% ( -0)2-1 @ 9.51% ( 0)3-0 @ 5.3% ( 0)3-1 @ 5.09% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.44% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.13% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.04% ( 0)4-2 @ 0.98% ( 0)Other @ 2.7% Total : 52.46% | 1-1 @ 11.85% 0-0 @ 7.7% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.56% ( 0)Other @ 0.86% Total : 24.97% | 0-1 @ 7.38% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.69% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.54% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.82% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.46% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 1.54% Total : 22.57% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 37 | 27 | 4 | 6 | 87 | 37 | 50 | 85 |
| 2 | Lens | 37 | 24 | 9 | 4 | 65 | 28 | 37 | 81 |
| 3 | Marseille | 37 | 22 | 7 | 8 | 67 | 39 | 28 | 73 |
| 4 | Lille | 37 | 19 | 9 | 9 | 64 | 43 | 21 | 66 |
| 5 | Rennes | 37 | 20 | 5 | 12 | 67 | 38 | 29 | 65 |
| 6 | MonacoMonaco | 37 | 19 | 8 | 10 | 69 | 56 | 13 | 65 |
| 7 | Lyon | 37 | 18 | 8 | 11 | 64 | 44 | 20 | 62 |
| 8 | Clermont | 37 | 16 | 8 | 13 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 56 |
| 9 | Nice | 37 | 14 | 13 | 10 | 45 | 36 | 9 | 55 |
| 10 | Lorient | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 50 | 52 | -2 | 52 |
| 11 | Reims | 37 | 12 | 15 | 10 | 44 | 42 | 2 | 51 |
| 12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 37 | 14 | 5 | 18 | 62 | 61 | 1 | 47 |
| 13 | Toulouse | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 49 | 56 | -7 | 45 |
| 14 | Brest | 37 | 11 | 11 | 15 | 43 | 52 | -9 | 44 |
| 15 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 37 | 9 | 13 | 15 | 50 | 57 | -7 | 40 |
| 16 | Auxerre | 37 | 8 | 11 | 18 | 34 | 60 | -26 | 35 |
| 17 | NantesNantes | 37 | 6 | 15 | 16 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 33 |
| R | Troyes | 37 | 4 | 11 | 22 | 44 | 80 | -36 | 23 |
| R | Ajaccio | 37 | 6 | 5 | 26 | 22 | 74 | -52 | 23 |
| R | Angers | 37 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 33 | 80 | -47 | 18 |
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