SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 56.51%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Angers had a probability of 20.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.21%) and 1-2 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.06%), while for an Angers win it was 1-0 (6.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Angers | Draw | Marseille |
20.22% ( -0.58) | 23.26% ( -0.29) | 56.51% ( 0.87) |
| Both teams to score 51.24% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.46% ( 0.49) | 48.53% ( -0.49) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.34% ( 0.45) | 70.66% ( -0.45) |
| Angers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.72% ( -0.32) | 38.28% ( 0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.96% ( -0.31) | 75.04% ( 0.31) |
| Marseille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.03% ( 0.49) | 16.97% ( -0.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.93% ( 0.86) | 47.07% ( -0.86) |
| Score Analysis |
| Angers | Draw | Marseille |
| 1-0 @ 6.24% ( -0.18) 2-1 @ 5.31% ( -0.11)2-0 @ 3% ( -0.11)3-1 @ 1.7% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 1.51% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 0.96% ( -0.05)Other @ 1.51% Total : 20.22% | 1-1 @ 11.06% ( -0.14) 0-0 @ 6.5% ( -0.13)2-2 @ 4.71% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.99% Total : 23.26% | 0-1 @ 11.52% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 10.21% ( 0.12)1-2 @ 9.81% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 6.04% ( 0.17)1-3 @ 5.8% ( 0.11)2-3 @ 2.79% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 2.68% ( 0.12)1-4 @ 2.57% ( 0.09)2-4 @ 1.24% ( 0.03)0-5 @ 0.95% ( 0.06)1-5 @ 0.91% ( 0.05)Other @ 1.98% Total : 56.5% |
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