SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Arsenal win with a probability of 63.65%. A draw has a probability of 19.5% and a win for Chelsea has a probability of 16.86%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (9.42%) and 1-0 (8.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (8.94%), while for a Chelsea win it is 1-2 (4.67%).
| Result | ||
| Arsenal | Draw | Chelsea |
63.65% ( 0.76) | 19.49% ( -0.29) | 16.86% ( -0.47) |
| Both teams to score 57.71% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.06% ( 0.51) | 36.94% ( -0.51) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.87% ( 0.55) | 59.13% ( -0.55) |
| Arsenal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.97% ( 0.35) | 11.03% ( -0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 64.66% ( 0.76) | 35.34% ( -0.76) |
| Chelsea Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.86% ( -0.22) | 35.14% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 28.11% ( -0.23) | 71.89% ( 0.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| Arsenal | Draw | Chelsea |
| 2-1 @ 9.85% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 9.42% ( 0.03)1-0 @ 8.54% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 7.24% ( 0.09)3-0 @ 6.92% ( 0.12)4-1 @ 3.99% ( 0.1)4-0 @ 3.81% ( 0.12)3-2 @ 3.79% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 2.09% ( 0.04)5-1 @ 1.76% ( 0.07)5-0 @ 1.68% ( 0.08)5-2 @ 0.92% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.65% Total : 63.65% | 1-1 @ 8.94% ( -0.15) 2-2 @ 5.15% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 3.88% ( -0.1)3-3 @ 1.32% Other @ 0.21% Total : 19.49% | 1-2 @ 4.67% ( -0.11) 0-1 @ 4.05% ( -0.13)0-2 @ 2.12% ( -0.08)2-3 @ 1.8% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 1.63% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.58% Total : 16.86% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Arsenal | 33 | 23 | 6 | 4 | 78 | 38 | 40 | 75 |
| 2 | Manchester CityMan City | 31 | 23 | 4 | 4 | 82 | 29 | 53 | 73 |
| 3 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 32 | 17 | 11 | 4 | 58 | 26 | 32 | 62 |
| 4 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 31 | 18 | 6 | 7 | 48 | 39 | 9 | 60 |
| 5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 33 | 16 | 6 | 11 | 60 | 53 | 7 | 54 |
| 6 | Aston Villa | 33 | 16 | 6 | 11 | 46 | 41 | 5 | 54 |
| 7 | Liverpool | 32 | 15 | 8 | 9 | 61 | 39 | 22 | 53 |
| 8 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 31 | 15 | 7 | 9 | 61 | 40 | 21 | 52 |
| 9 | Brentford | 34 | 12 | 14 | 8 | 52 | 44 | 8 | 50 |
| 10 | Fulham | 32 | 13 | 6 | 13 | 44 | 43 | 1 | 45 |
| 11 | Crystal Palace | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 35 | 45 | -10 | 40 |
| 12 | Chelsea | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 30 | 35 | -5 | 39 |
| 13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 29 | 50 | -21 | 37 |
| 14 | Bournemouth | 33 | 10 | 6 | 17 | 32 | 63 | -31 | 36 |
| 15 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 33 | 9 | 7 | 17 | 37 | 47 | -10 | 34 |
| 16 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 33 | 7 | 9 | 17 | 42 | 63 | -21 | 30 |
| 17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 30 | 62 | -32 | 30 |
| 18 | Leicester CityLeicester | 33 | 8 | 5 | 20 | 44 | 57 | -13 | 29 |
| 19 | Everton | 33 | 6 | 10 | 17 | 25 | 50 | -25 | 28 |
| 20 | Southampton | 33 | 6 | 6 | 21 | 27 | 57 | -30 | 24 |
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