SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 66.98%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Everton had a probability of 12.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.16%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.59%), while for a Everton win it was 0-1 (4.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Chelsea | Draw | Everton |
66.98% ( -0.41) | 20.34% ( 0.2) | 12.68% ( 0.2) |
| Both teams to score 44.24% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.59% ( -0.38) | 49.41% ( 0.38) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.55% ( -0.34) | 71.45% ( 0.34) |
| Chelsea Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.16% ( -0.24) | 13.84% ( 0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 58.79% ( -0.48) | 41.21% ( 0.47) |
| Everton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.35% ( 0.09) | 48.65% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 16.29% ( 0.07) | 83.71% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chelsea | Draw | Everton |
| 1-0 @ 13.31% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 13.16% ( -0.03)2-1 @ 9.49% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 8.68% ( -0.1)3-1 @ 6.25% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 4.29% ( -0.09)4-1 @ 3.09% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 2.25% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.7% ( -0.05)5-1 @ 1.22% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.11% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.41% Total : 66.97% | 1-1 @ 9.59% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 6.73% ( 0.1)2-2 @ 3.42% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.59% Total : 20.34% | 0-1 @ 4.85% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 3.46% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 1.75% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.63% Total : 12.68% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Manchester CityMan City | 38 | 28 | 5 | 5 | 94 | 33 | 61 | 89 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 38 | 26 | 6 | 6 | 88 | 43 | 45 | 84 |
| 3 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 38 | 23 | 6 | 9 | 58 | 43 | 15 | 75 |
| 4 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 68 | 33 | 35 | 71 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 38 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 75 | 47 | 28 | 67 |
| 6 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 38 | 18 | 8 | 12 | 72 | 53 | 19 | 62 |
| 7 | Aston Villa | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 51 | 46 | 5 | 61 |
| 8 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 70 | 63 | 7 | 60 |
| 9 | Brentford | 38 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 58 | 46 | 12 | 59 |
| 10 | Fulham | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 55 | 53 | 2 | 52 |
| 11 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 40 | 49 | -9 | 45 |
| 12 | Chelsea | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 38 | 47 | -9 | 44 |
| 13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 31 | 58 | -27 | 41 |
| 14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 38 | 11 | 7 | 20 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 40 |
| 15 | Bournemouth | 38 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 37 | 71 | -34 | 39 |
| 16 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 68 | -30 | 38 |
| 17 | Everton | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 34 | 57 | -23 | 36 |
| R | Leicester CityLeicester | 38 | 9 | 7 | 22 | 51 | 68 | -17 | 34 |
| R | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 38 | 7 | 10 | 21 | 48 | 78 | -30 | 31 |
| R | Southampton | 38 | 6 | 7 | 25 | 36 | 73 | -37 | 25 |
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