SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tranmere Rovers win with a probability of 39.57%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 34.05% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tranmere Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 0-1 (9.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Tranmere Rovers in this match.
| Result | ||
| Tranmere Rovers | Draw | Swindon Town |
39.57% ( -0.01) | 26.38% ( -0) | 34.05% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 52.69% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.98% ( 0.02) | 52.02% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.24% ( 0.01) | 73.75% ( -0.01) |
| Tranmere Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.21% ( 0) | 25.78% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.27% ( 0) | 60.73% ( 0) |
| Swindon Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.99% ( 0.02) | 29.01% ( -0.01) |
