SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 46.37%. A win for Rochdale had a probability of 27.46% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.11%) and 0-2 (8.56%). The likeliest Rochdale win was 1-0 (8.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 4-4 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Rochdale | Draw | Swindon Town |
27.46% ( -0.02) | 26.17% ( -0.03) | 46.37% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 50.35% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.36% ( 0.12) | 53.64% ( -0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.86% ( 0.1) | 75.13% ( -0.1) |
| Rochdale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.48% ( 0.05) | 34.52% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 28.76% ( 0.05) | 71.23% ( -0.05) |
| Swindon Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.9% ( 0.07) | 23.1% ( -0.07) |
