SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 52.84%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Crawley Town had a probability of 22.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 2-0 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.57%), while for a Crawley Town win it was 0-1 (6.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Swindon Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Swindon Town | Draw | Crawley Town |
52.84% ( -0.01) | 24.34% ( -0.01) | 22.82% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 51.47% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.98% ( 0.04) | 50.01% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28% ( 0.04) | 71.99% ( -0.04) |
| Swindon Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.12% ( 0.01) | 18.88% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 49.64% ( 0.02) | 50.36% ( -0.02) |
| Crawley Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.45% ( 0.04) | 36.55% ( -0.04) |
