Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 52.69%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Crawley Town had a probability of 21.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.47%) and 2-1 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.04%), while for a Crawley Town win it was 0-1 (7.81%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barrow would win this match.
-0.57) 
0.15) 
