SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 49.22%. A draw had a probability of 28.6% and a win for Gillingham had a probability of 22.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.64%) and 2-1 (8.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.62%), while for a Gillingham win it was 0-1 (9.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barrow would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Barrow | Draw | Gillingham |
49.22% ( 0.06) | 28.62% ( -0.06) | 22.15% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 39.47% ( 0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 34.72% ( 0.16) | 65.28% ( -0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.91% ( 0.11) | 84.09% ( -0.11) |
| Barrow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.04% ( 0.11) | 26.96% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.7% ( 0.14) | 62.3% ( -0.14) |
| Gillingham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.04% ( 0.1) | 45.96% ( -0.1) |
