SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Harrogate Town win with a probability of 44.36%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 28.42% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Harrogate Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.74%) and 2-0 (8.46%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 0-1 (9.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Harrogate Town | Draw | Gillingham |
44.36% ( -0.01) | 27.21% ( 0) | 28.42% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 47.94% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
