SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 50.1%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 24.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.44%) and 0-2 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.98%), while for a Harrogate Town win it was 1-0 (7.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Harrogate Town | Draw | Northampton Town |
24.69% ( -0.02) | 25.21% ( -0.01) | 50.1% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 50.89% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.2% ( 0.02) | 51.79% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.44% ( 0.02) | 73.56% ( -0.02) |
| Harrogate Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.16% ( -0) | 35.83% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 27.39% ( -0) | 72.61% ( 0) |
| Northampton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.31% ( 0.02) | 20.69% ( -0.02) |
