SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 48.41%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 23.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.07%) and 2-1 (8.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.71%), while for an AFC Wimbledon win it was 0-1 (9.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sutton United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sutton United | Draw | AFC Wimbledon |
48.41% ( 0.06) | 27.93% ( -0.09) | 23.66% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 42.51% ( 0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.82% ( 0.32) | 62.18% ( -0.31) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.13% ( 0.23) | 81.87% ( -0.23) |
| Sutton United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.09% ( 0.18) | 25.91% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.1% ( 0.24) | 60.9% ( -0.24) |
| AFC Wimbledon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.38% ( 0.21) | 42.62% ( -0.21) |
