Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 60%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 17.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.77%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.51%), while for an AFC Wimbledon win it was 0-1 (5.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Plymouth Argyle | Draw | AFC Wimbledon |
60% ( 0.85) | 22.11% ( -0.17) | 17.89% ( -0.67) |
Both teams to score 50.88% ( -0.69) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.01% ( -0.28) | 47% ( 0.29) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.76% ( -0.27) | 69.24% ( 0.27) |
Plymouth Argyle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.76% ( 0.19) | 15.25% ( -0.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.08% ( 0.34) | 43.92% ( -0.34) |
AFC Wimbledon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.03% ( -0.94) | 39.97% ( 0.95) |