Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
3 | Northampton Town | 4 | 3 | 10 |
4 | Stevenage | 4 | 3 | 10 |
5 | Barrow | 4 | 2 | 9 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
10 | Mansfield Town | 4 | 1 | 6 |
11 | Carlisle United | 3 | 1 | 5 |
12 | AFC Wimbledon | 4 | -1 | 5 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 39.99%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 32.31% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.28%) and 2-0 (7.45%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 0-1 (10.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stevenage would win this match.
Result | ||
Stevenage | Draw | Carlisle United |
39.99% ( 0.54) | 27.7% ( 0.16) | 32.31% ( -0.7) |
Both teams to score 48.18% ( -0.65) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.46% ( -0.73) | 57.54% ( 0.73) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.67% ( -0.59) | 78.33% ( 0.59) |
Stevenage Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.86% ( -0.05) | 28.14% ( 0.04) |