SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Doncaster Rovers | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 15 | Colchester United | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 16 | Stockport County | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Stevenage | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 10 | Carlisle United | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 11 | Newport County | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 42.63%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 30.61% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.73%) and 2-0 (7.78%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 0-1 (9.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Colchester United | Draw | Carlisle United |
42.63% ( 1.29) | 26.77% ( -0.08) | 30.61% ( -1.2) |
| Both teams to score 50.37% ( -0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.51% ( -0.08) | 54.49% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.16% ( -0.06) | 75.85% ( 0.07) |
| Colchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.7% ( 0.63) | 25.3% ( -0.63) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.93% ( 0.86) | 60.08% ( -0.86) |
| Carlisle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.43% ( -0.89) | 32.58% ( 0.89) |
