SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Crewe Alexandra | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Stevenage | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 10 | Carlisle United | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 15 | Colchester United | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 16 | Stockport County | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 17 | Rochdale | 1 | -1 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 59.62%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Stevenage had a probability of 18.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.19%) and 1-2 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.31%), while for a Stevenage win it was 1-0 (5.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Stevenage | Draw | Stockport County |
18.6% ( -1.06) | 21.78% ( -0.68) | 59.62% ( 1.74) |
| Both teams to score 53.24% ( 0.38) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.49% ( 1.42) | 44.51% ( -1.42) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.12% ( 1.36) | 66.88% ( -1.36) |
| Stevenage Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.3% ( -0.32) | 37.7% ( 0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 25.52% ( -0.31) | 74.48% ( 0.31) |
| Stockport County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.46% ( 1.05) | 14.54% ( -1.04) |
