Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 59.62%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Stevenage had a probability of 18.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.19%) and 1-2 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.31%), while for a Stevenage win it was 1-0 (5.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.