SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 61.38%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Gillingham had a probability of 16.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.83%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.58%), while for a Gillingham win it was 0-1 (5.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Salford City | Draw | Gillingham |
61.38% ( -0.03) | 22.34% ( 0.02) | 16.28% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 46.99% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.47% ( -0.08) | 50.53% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.55% ( -0.07) | 72.45% ( 0.08) |
| Salford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.01% ( -0.04) | 15.99% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 54.7% ( -0.07) | 45.3% ( 0.07) |
| Gillingham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.93% ( -0.04) | 44.06% ( 0.04) |
