SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 44.45%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 29.85% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.07%) and 0-2 (7.76%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Salford City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| AFC Wimbledon | Draw | Salford City |
29.85% ( -0.2) | 25.7% ( -0) | 44.45% ( 0.2) |
| Both teams to score 53.3% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.48% ( -0.09) | 50.52% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.56% ( -0.08) | 72.44% ( 0.08) |
| AFC Wimbledon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.92% ( -0.19) | 31.08% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.6% ( -0.22) | 67.4% ( 0.22) |
| Salford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.33% ( 0.06) | 22.67% ( -0.06) |
