SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 44.52%. A win for Rochdale had a probability of 27.85% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.68%) and 2-1 (8.63%). The likeliest Rochdale win was 0-1 (9.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| AFC Wimbledon | Draw | Rochdale |
44.52% ( 0.27) | 27.63% ( -0.03) | 27.85% ( -0.24) |
| Both teams to score 46.44% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.2% | 58.8% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.68% ( 0) | 79.32% ( -0) |
| AFC Wimbledon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.7% ( 0.14) | 26.3% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.58% ( 0.18) | 61.42% ( -0.18) |
| Rochdale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.01% ( -0.19) | 36.99% ( 0.19) |
