Rochdale 2-0 Carlisle United - League Two - March 29, 2022 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings - Football

These teams are in completely different form right now, which is why Carlisle United head into this game as the firm favourites to take all three points. They have been strong defensively, while proving themselves to have attacking options too, and that could be what separates them both in midweek. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 43.6%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 29.31% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.73%) and 2-0 (8.19%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 0-1 (9.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rochdale would win this match.

Result
Rochdale	Draw	Carlisle United
43.6%	27.09%	29.31%

Both teams to score 48.78%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.78%

56.22%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.74%

77.27%

Rochdale Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.41%

25.59%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.54%

60.46%

Carlisle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.56%

34.45%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.84%

71.16%

Score Analysis

Rochdale 43.6%

Carlisle United 29.31%

Draw 27.09%

Rochdale	Draw	Carlisle United
1-0 @ 12.01% 2-1 @ 8.73% 2-0 @ 8.19% 3-1 @ 3.97% 3-0 @ 3.72% 3-2 @ 2.11% 4-1 @ 1.35% 4-0 @ 1.27% Other @ 2.26% Total : 43.6%	1-1 @ 12.8% 0-0 @ 8.81% 2-2 @ 4.65% Other @ 0.82% Total : 27.09%	0-1 @ 9.39% 1-2 @ 6.82% 0-2 @ 5.01% 1-3 @ 2.42% 0-3 @ 1.78% 2-3 @ 1.65% Other @ 2.23% Total : 29.31%

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	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
1	Leyton Orient	28	17	6	5	36	17	19	57
2	Stevenage	26	16	7	3	39	18	21	55
3	Northampton Town Northampton	27	14	7	6	42	28	14	49
4	Carlisle United Carlisle	27	13	9	5	43	26	17	48
5	Salford City	27	12	6	9	37	28	9	42
6	Swindon Town Swindon	27	11	9	7	36	28	8	42
7	Mansfield Town Mansfield	27	12	6	9	40	36	4	42
8	Bradford City Bradford	26	11	8	7	31	25	6	41
9	Barrow Barrow	27	12	4	11	32	32	0	40
10	AFC Wimbledon	27	10	9	8	30	28	2	39
11	Sutton United Sutton	28	11	6	11	28	35	-7	39
12	Stockport County Stockport	26	11	5	10	35	24	11	38
13	Tranmere Rovers Tranmere	27	10	8	9	29	23	6	38
14	Walsall	24	10	7	7	30	22	8	37
15	Doncaster Rovers Doncaster	26	11	4	11	31	39	-8	37
16	Grimsby Town	24	8	6	10	26	32	-6	30
17	Crewe Alexandra Crewe	24	7	9	8	20	28	-8	30
18	Colchester United Colchester	29	8	6	15	29	37	-8	30
19	Newport County Newport	26	6	8	12	24	30	-6	26
20	Crawley Town Crawley	25	6	7	12	29	41	-12	25
21	Harrogate Town Harrogate	26	6	6	14	32	41	-9	24
22	Hartlepool United Hartlepool	28	5	7	16	28	52	-24	22
23	Gillingham	26	4	9	13	14	31	-17	21
24	Rochdale	28	5	5	18	22	42	-20	20

Form, Standings, Stats

Rochdale

Carlisle United

We said: Rochdale 0-2 Carlisle United

Data Analysis

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