On the back of edging out Doncaster last time out, Port Vale are on a high, a rarity after recent matches. However, we feel that they may struggle to get over the line here, leading us to back a low-scoring draw with a Barrow outfit who ideally require three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Port Vale win with a probability of 45.61%. A draw has a probability of 27.7% and a win for Barrow has a probability of 26.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (9.05%) and 2-1 (8.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.89%), while for a Barrow win it is 0-1 (9.62%).

Result
Port Vale	Draw	Barrow
45.61% ( 0.51)	27.73% ( -0.27)	26.66% ( -0.24)

Both teams to score 45.41% (

0.54)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.27% (

0.78)

59.73% (

-0.77)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.97% (

0.59)

80.03% (

-0.59)

Port Vale Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.83% (

0.62)

26.17% (

-0.62)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.75% (

0.82)

61.25% (

-0.82)

Barrow Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.5% (

0.23)

38.5% (

-0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.76% (

0.22)

75.24% (

-0.21)

Score Analysis

Port Vale 45.61%

Barrow 26.66%

Draw 27.72%

Port Vale	Draw	Barrow
1-0 @ 13.5% ( -0.16) 2-0 @ 9.05% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 8.64% ( 0.1) 3-0 @ 4.05% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 3.86% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 1.84% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 1.36% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 1.29% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.02% Total : 45.61%	1-1 @ 12.89% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 10.07% ( -0.3) 2-2 @ 4.13% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.64% Total : 27.72%	0-1 @ 9.62% ( -0.22) 1-2 @ 6.15% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.59% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 1.96% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.31% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.57% Total : 26.66%