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Port Vale
League Two | Gameweek 38
Mar 22, 2025 at 3pm UK
Vale Park
M
Morecambe

Port Vale
1 - 0
Morecambe

Curtis (89')
Hall (24'), Curtis (90')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Tutonda (17'), Williams (31'), Angol (58')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Port Vale 3-0 MK Dons
Saturday, March 15 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Morecambe 2-2 Barrow
Saturday, March 15 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Port Vale 3-1 Morecambe

Port Vale are certainly the favourites given the difference in league position, and with the hosts also winning each of the last three clashes at Vale Park, we expect another victory for the Valiants. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Port Vale win with a probability of 56.6%. A draw has a probability of 24.6% and a win for Morecambe has a probability of 18.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win is 1-0 with a probability of 14.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (11.46%) and 2-1 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.53%), while for a Morecambe win it is 0-1 (7.08%).

Result
Port ValeDrawMorecambe
56.6% (0.027999999999999 0.03) 24.64% (0.039999999999999 0.04) 18.76% (-0.065000000000001 -0.07)
Both teams to score 44.99% (-0.205 -0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.33% (-0.217 -0.22)55.67% (0.219 0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.18% (-0.176 -0.18)76.82% (0.178 0.18)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.41% (-0.072999999999993 -0.07)19.6% (0.074999999999999 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.47% (-0.12 -0.12)51.53% (0.122 0.12)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.96% (-0.203 -0.2)44.04% (0.205 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.84% (-0.166 -0.17)80.16% (0.169 0.17)
Score Analysis
    Port Vale 56.59%
    Morecambe 18.76%
    Draw 24.64%
Port ValeDrawMorecambe
1-0 @ 14.06% (0.08 0.08)
2-0 @ 11.46% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-1 @ 9.4% (-0.017999999999999 -0.02)
3-0 @ 6.23% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.11% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.54% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-2 @ 2.09% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.08% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 3.62%
Total : 56.59%
1-1 @ 11.53% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.63% (0.073 0.07)
2-2 @ 3.85% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 24.64%
0-1 @ 7.08% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 4.73% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.9% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.29% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.05% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 1.71%
Total : 18.76%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Port Vale 3-0 MK Dons
Saturday, March 15 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Colchester 2-1 Port Vale
Tuesday, March 11 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Fleetwood 1-1 Port Vale
Saturday, March 8 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Port Vale 0-0 Harrogate
Tuesday, March 4 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Tranmere 1-1 Port Vale
Saturday, March 1 at 12.30pm in League Two
Last Game: Port Vale 2-1 Salford City
Saturday, February 22 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Morecambe 2-2 Barrow
Saturday, March 15 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: MK Dons 2-1 Morecambe
Saturday, March 8 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Morecambe 1-0 AFC Wimbledon
Tuesday, March 4 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Gillingham 1-0 Morecambe
Saturday, March 1 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Morecambe 0-2 Walsall
Saturday, February 22 at 12.30pm in League Two
Last Game: Morecambe 0-1 Doncaster
Tuesday, February 18 at 7.45pm in League Two


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