While the margin may not be as heavy as their last meeting at Meadow Lane, Morecambe's decent form on their travels is unlikely to spare them from a tough test against an in-form Notts, who have won seven of their last nine matches; hence, we predict a victory for the home side.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 66.9%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.22%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.02%), while for a Morecambe win it was 0-1 (4.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Notts County in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Notts County.
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