MX23RW : Saturday, January 7 21:48:11
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Jan 29, 2022 at 3pm UK at Sixfields
Northampton
1 - 0
Salford City
Lewis (12')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Lowe (35'), Ndaba (66')

We said: Northampton Town 1-1 Salford City

There is very little to choose between these two sides heading into their meeting on Saturday, and because of this, we can see them playing out a draw in a tight game. The hosts are on a poor run of form and the visitors are inconsistent in their performances and results, particularly on their travels, so a draw seems a likely outcome. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 39.35%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 32.59% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.12%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest Salford City win was 0-1 (10.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Northampton Town in this match.

Result
Northampton TownDrawSalford City
39.35%28.06%32.59%
Both teams to score 47.22%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.22%58.78%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.7%79.3%
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.9%29.1%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.98%65.02%
Salford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.6%33.4%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.97%70.03%
Score Analysis
    Northampton Town 39.34%
    Salford City 32.58%
    Draw 28.05%
Northampton TownDrawSalford City
1-0 @ 11.99%
2-1 @ 8.12%
2-0 @ 7.41%
3-1 @ 3.34%
3-0 @ 3.05%
3-2 @ 1.83%
4-1 @ 1.03%
4-0 @ 0.94%
Other @ 1.64%
Total : 39.34%
1-1 @ 13.15%
0-0 @ 9.72%
2-2 @ 4.45%
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 28.05%
0-1 @ 10.65%
1-2 @ 7.21%
0-2 @ 5.84%
1-3 @ 2.64%
0-3 @ 2.14%
2-3 @ 1.63%
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 32.58%

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League Two Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leyton Orient25175336132356
2Stevenage24156335171851
3Northampton TownNorthampton25137540261446
4Carlisle UnitedCarlisle24109537251239
5Bradford CityBradford2311663023739
6BarrowBarrow25123103230239
7Salford City2411583224838
8Swindon TownSwindon2510872825338
9Mansfield TownMansfield2511593534138
10Doncaster RoversDoncaster25114103035-537
11Walsall2310672921836
12Sutton UnitedSutton26106102733-636
13AFC Wimbledon259882928135
14Stockport CountyStockport23104933231034
15Tranmere RoversTranmere259792722534
16Grimsby Town238692627-130
17Crewe AlexandraCrewe237881927-829
18Newport CountyNewport2568112428-426
19Harrogate TownHarrogate2465133139-823
20Colchester UnitedColchester2565142432-823
21Crawley TownCrawley2457122639-1322
22Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool2447132445-2119
23Rochdale2445151936-1717
24Gillingham232813728-2114
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