MX23RW : Tuesday, December 20 21:16:44
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Jan 18, 2022 at 7.45pm UK at Vale Park
Port Vale
0 - 1
Salford City

Walker (90+3'), Gibbons (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Elliott (50')
Ndaba (27'), Kelly (86')

We said: Port Vale 1-1 Salford City

While Port Vale have been the stronger of the two sides so far this season, they will be wounded by consecutive defeats and could have to settle for a draw. Gary Bowyer's men are dangerous on their day and have enough to leave Vale Park with at least a point if they can bounce back from the weekend's defeat. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 37.1%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 35.62% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.04%) and 2-0 (6.63%). The likeliest Salford City win was 0-1 (10.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.

Result
Port ValeDrawSalford City
37.1%27.28%35.62%
Both teams to score 50.01%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.51%55.49%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.33%76.67%
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.17%28.82%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.32%64.68%
Salford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.27%29.73%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.21%65.79%
Score Analysis
    Port Vale 37.09%
    Salford City 35.61%
    Draw 27.28%
Port ValeDrawSalford City
1-0 @ 10.65%
2-1 @ 8.04%
2-0 @ 6.63%
3-1 @ 3.34%
3-0 @ 2.75%
3-2 @ 2.02%
4-1 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 37.09%
1-1 @ 12.93%
0-0 @ 8.57%
2-2 @ 4.88%
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 27.28%
0-1 @ 10.39%
1-2 @ 7.84%
0-2 @ 6.31%
1-3 @ 3.17%
0-3 @ 2.55%
2-3 @ 1.97%
1-4 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 35.61%

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