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League Two | Gameweek 20
Dec 7, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
St James Park
NT
Exeter
1 - 2
Northampton
Amond (50')
Key (56'), Caprice (78')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Sowerby (34'), Hoskins (74')
McWilliams (35'), Guthrie (71')

We said: Exeter City 1-1 Northampton Town

Based on the unpredictable runs of form and consistency endured by both sides this season so far, it is difficult to predict which way this encounter will be going on Tuesday. For this reason, and due to the similar levels of quality possessed by both teams, we believe this big clash in League Two will end in a draw, with tight periods played out throughout the contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 48.34%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Northampton Town had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.5%) and 2-1 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.55%), while for a Northampton Town win it was 0-1 (8.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result
Exeter CityDrawNorthampton Town
48.34%26.76%24.9%
Both teams to score 46.65%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.56%57.44%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.75%78.25%
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.17%23.83%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42%58%
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.24%38.76%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.5%75.5%
Score Analysis
    Exeter City 48.33%
    Northampton Town 24.9%
    Draw 26.76%
Exeter CityDrawNorthampton Town
1-0 @ 13.24%
2-0 @ 9.5%
2-1 @ 9%
3-0 @ 4.54%
3-1 @ 4.31%
3-2 @ 2.04%
4-0 @ 1.63%
4-1 @ 1.54%
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 48.33%
1-1 @ 12.55%
0-0 @ 9.24%
2-2 @ 4.27%
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 26.76%
0-1 @ 8.75%
1-2 @ 5.95%
0-2 @ 4.15%
1-3 @ 1.88%
2-3 @ 1.35%
0-3 @ 1.31%
Other @ 1.51%
Total : 24.9%

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Premier League Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Notts County96211914520
2Gillingham960388018
3Mansfield TownMansfield9450168817
4Crawley TownCrawley95221717017
5Swindon TownSwindon844024131116
6Crewe AlexandraCrewe94412114716
7Wrexham94322020015
8AFC Wimbledon9351159614
9Stockport CountyStockport94231712514
10MK Dons94231615114
11Bradford CityBradford9342109113
12Accrington StanleyAccrington94141313013
13BarrowBarrow833287112
14Morecambe8323910-111
15Newport CountyNewport93241719-211
16Walsall93241216-411
17Grimsby Town92431112-110
18Harrogate TownHarrogate9315811-310
19Doncaster RoversDoncaster9225916-78
20Colchester UnitedColchester82151011-17
21Salford City92161116-57
22Forest Green RoversForest Green9216918-97
23Tranmere RoversTranmere92071215-36
24Sutton UnitedSutton91171221-94
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