Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 53.29%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 23.41% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.78%) and 2-0 (8.89%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 0-1 (6.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
