Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fleetwood Town win with a probability of 41.43%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 31.47% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fleetwood Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.56%) and 0-2 (7.61%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 1-0 (9.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.
