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Tuesday, March 25
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League Two | Gameweek 26
Mar 25, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Brunton Park
MD

Carlisle
2 - 2
MK Dons

Harris (45+4', 45+4'), Dennis (26')
Vela (3')
FT(HT: 3-2)
Tomlinson (6'), Gilbey (37')
Nemane (8')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Carlisle 2-1 Bromley
Saturday, March 22 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Cheltenham 0-1 MK Dons
Saturday, March 22 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Carlisle United 1-2 MK Dons

Given MK Dons' poor run of form, Carlisle will be optimistic of earning at least a share of the spoils. However, we feel that the visitors will do enough to scrape maximum points here, even if it is in a war of attrition. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a MK Dons win with a probability of 38.78%. A win for Carlisle United has a probability of 34.85% and a draw has a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win is 0-1 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.41%) and 0-2 (6.69%). The likeliest Carlisle United win is 1-0 (9.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.54%).

Result
Carlisle UnitedDrawMK Dons
34.85% (-0.484 -0.48) 26.37% (-0.365 -0.37) 38.78% (0.852 0.85)
Both teams to score 52.87% (1.134 1.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.15% (1.464 1.46)51.85% (-1.463 -1.46)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.39% (1.256 1.26)73.61% (-1.254 -1.25)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.58% (0.41499999999999 0.41)28.42% (-0.413 -0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.82% (0.517 0.52)64.18% (-0.515 -0.52)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.86% (1.164 1.16)26.14% (-1.162 -1.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.79% (1.536 1.54)61.21% (-1.533 -1.53)
Score Analysis
    Carlisle United 34.85%
    MK Dons 38.78%
    Draw 26.37%
Carlisle UnitedDrawMK Dons
1-0 @ 9.35% (-0.444 -0.44)
2-1 @ 7.89% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-0 @ 5.88% (-0.209 -0.21)
3-1 @ 3.31% (0.031 0.03)
3-0 @ 2.47% (-0.058 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.22% (0.092 0.09)
4-1 @ 1.04% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 34.85%
1-1 @ 12.54% (-0.16 -0.16)
0-0 @ 7.43% (-0.443 -0.44)
2-2 @ 5.29% (0.162 0.16)
3-3 @ 0.99% (0.072 0.07)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.37%
0-1 @ 9.97% (-0.252 -0.25)
1-2 @ 8.41% (0.163 0.16)
0-2 @ 6.69% (0.053999999999999 0.05)
1-3 @ 3.76% (0.193 0.19)
0-3 @ 2.99% (0.12 0.12)
2-3 @ 2.37% (0.147 0.15)
1-4 @ 1.26% (0.103 0.1)
0-4 @ 1% (0.071 0.07)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 38.78%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Carlisle 2-1 Bromley
Saturday, March 22 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Carlisle 1-2 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, March 15 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Harrogate 1-0 Carlisle
Saturday, March 8 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Carlisle 1-1 Walsall
Tuesday, March 4 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Barrow 0-1 Carlisle
Thursday, February 27 at 8pm in League Two
Last Game: Carlisle 0-0 Gillingham
Saturday, February 22 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Cheltenham 0-1 MK Dons
Saturday, March 22 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Port Vale 3-0 MK Dons
Saturday, March 15 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: MK Dons 2-1 Morecambe
Saturday, March 8 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Accrington 2-0 MK Dons
Tuesday, March 4 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: MK Dons 0-1 Colchester
Saturday, March 1 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Bradford 2-0 MK Dons
Saturday, February 22 at 3pm in League Two


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