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League Two | Gameweek 38
Mar 22, 2025 at 3pm UK
Jonny-Rocks Stadium
MD

Cheltenham
vs.
MK Dons

 

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Swindon 3-3 Cheltenham
Saturday, March 15 at 12.30pm in League Two
Last Game: Port Vale 3-0 MK Dons
Saturday, March 15 at 3pm in League Two

We say: Cheltenham Town 2-1 MK Dons

Neither side have been in the strongest form ahead of this weekend, but MK Dons struggled for months under their former boss and have continued that trend with their current interim manager. On the other hand, Cheltenham will see this match as an opportunity to make up the ground on the playoff spots that they lost in recent weeks, so expect a win for the hosts on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 38.26%. A win for MK Dons has a probability of 36.16% and a draw has a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win is 1-0 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (6.26%). The likeliest MK Dons win is 0-1 (8.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.1%).

Result
Cheltenham TownDrawMK Dons
38.26% (0.177 0.18) 25.58% (0.02 0.02) 36.16% (-0.198 -0.2)
Both teams to score 55.68% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.69% (-0.098999999999997 -0.1)48.31% (0.099000000000004 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.54% (-0.093 -0.09)70.46% (0.090999999999994 0.09)
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.2% (0.049000000000007 0.05)24.79% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.63% (0.070999999999998 0.07)59.37% (-0.071999999999996 -0.07)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.04% (-0.16 -0.16)25.96% (0.159 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.03% (-0.217 -0.22)60.97% (0.214 0.21)
Score Analysis
    Cheltenham Town 38.26%
    MK Dons 36.16%
    Draw 25.57%
Cheltenham TownDrawMK Dons
1-0 @ 8.98% (0.049000000000001 0.05)
2-1 @ 8.44% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 6.26% (0.043 0.04)
3-1 @ 3.92% (0.015 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.91% (0.025 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.65% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-1 @ 1.37% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.01% (0.01 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.92%
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 38.26%
1-1 @ 12.1% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.44% (0.027 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.69% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.19% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.57%
0-1 @ 8.68% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-2 @ 8.16% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-2 @ 5.85% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-3 @ 3.67% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.63% (-0.025 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.56% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.24% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 36.16%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Swindon 3-3 Cheltenham
Saturday, March 15 at 12.30pm in League Two
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 1-2 Cheltenham
Tuesday, March 11 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Cheltenham 0-1 Colchester
Saturday, March 8 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Bradford 3-0 Cheltenham
Tuesday, March 4 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Cheltenham 1-1 Grimsby Town
Saturday, March 1 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Cheltenham 2-2 Walsall
Tuesday, February 25 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Port Vale 3-0 MK Dons
Saturday, March 15 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: MK Dons 2-1 Morecambe
Saturday, March 8 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Accrington 2-0 MK Dons
Tuesday, March 4 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: MK Dons 0-1 Colchester
Saturday, March 1 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Bradford 2-0 MK Dons
Saturday, February 22 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Tranmere 1-1 MK Dons
Saturday, February 15 at 3pm in League Two


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