Tranmere have been largely inconsistent for most of the season due to the lack of firepower upfront, and leaky defence which has been breached 48 times already this term.
The home side have shipped 16 goals in their last seven league fixtures, and given that the visitors averaged a goal per game in their last four outings, we back MK Dons to claim a slender 1-0 win.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tranmere Rovers win with a probability of 39.63%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 34.28% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tranmere Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.55%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 0-1 (8.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
-0.04) 
0.02) 
