SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 46.45%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 27.77% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.19%) and 2-0 (8.37%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 0-1 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Barrow | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
46.45% ( 0.02) | 25.78% ( -0.05) | 27.77% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 51.77% ( 0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.09% ( 0.22) | 51.9% ( -0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.34% ( 0.19) | 73.65% ( -0.19) |
| Barrow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.67% ( 0.1) | 22.32% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.2% ( 0.15) | 55.8% ( -0.16) |
| Accrington Stanley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.65% ( 0.14) | 33.35% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.03% ( 0.15) | 69.97% ( -0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Barrow | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
| 1-0 @ 11.16% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 9.19% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 8.37% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 4.59% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 4.18% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.52% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.72% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.57% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 0.95% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.19% Total : 46.45% | 1-1 @ 12.26% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.45% ( -0.07)2-2 @ 5.05% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.78% | 0-1 @ 8.18% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 6.73% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.49% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.46% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.85% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.64% ( 0)Other @ 2.42% Total : 27.77% |
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