SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Portsmouth | 7 | 9 | 17 |
| 3 | Plymouth Argyle | 7 | 4 | 15 |
| 4 | Sheffield Wednesday | 7 | 5 | 13 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Barnsley | 7 | 1 | 10 |
| 11 | Oxford United | 7 | 0 | 10 |
| 12 | Charlton Athletic | 7 | 2 | 9 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 38.3%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 34.77% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.26%) and 0-2 (6.79%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 1-0 (9.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Oxford United |
34.77% ( 0.04) | 26.92% | 38.3% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 51.04% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.84% | 54.16% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.43% | 75.57% ( -0) |
| Plymouth Argyle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.39% ( 0.03) | 29.6% ( -0.03) |
