SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Ipswich Town | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 8 | Bristol Rovers | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| 9 | Fleetwood Town | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 15 | Derby County | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 16 | Oxford United | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 17 | Port Vale | 2 | -3 | 3 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 40.3%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 33.34% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.59%) and 0-2 (7.03%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 1-0 (9.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bristol Rovers | Draw | Oxford United |
33.34% ( 0.1) | 26.35% ( -0.02) | 40.3% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 52.62% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.96% ( 0.08) | 52.03% ( -0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.23% ( 0.07) | 73.76% ( -0.07) |
| Bristol Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.53% ( 0.11) | 29.47% ( -0.11) |
