SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 22 | MK Dons | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 23 | Oxford United | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 24 | Burton Albion | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 18 | Cheltenham Town | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 19 | Bristol Rovers | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 20 | Fleetwood Town | 1 | -1 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol Rovers win with a probability of 40.83%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 33.08% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bristol Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.68%) and 0-2 (7.04%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 1-0 (8.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bristol Rovers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Burton Albion | Draw | Bristol Rovers |
33.08% ( 1.3) | 26.08% ( 0.24) | 40.83% ( -1.54) |
| Both teams to score 53.41% ( -0.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.02% ( -0.65) | 50.98% ( 0.64) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.15% ( -0.57) | 72.85% ( 0.57) |
| Burton Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.88% ( 0.54) | 29.11% ( -0.54) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.96% ( 0.66) | 65.04% ( -0.66) |
| Bristol Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.35% ( -1.07) | 24.65% ( 1.07) |
