Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 52.6%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 23.98% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.75%) and 0-2 (8.73%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 1-0 (6.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.
