SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Sheffield Wednesday | 5 | 2 | 10 |
| 5 | Plymouth Argyle | 5 | 1 | 9 |
| 6 | Charlton Athletic | 5 | 4 | 8 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Charlton Athletic | 5 | 4 | 8 |
| 7 | Bolton Wanderers | 5 | 2 | 8 |
| 8 | Derby County | 5 | 1 | 8 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 39.71%. A win for Bolton Wanderers had a probability of 32.55% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.24%) and 2-0 (7.4%). The likeliest Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 (10.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Plymouth Argyle would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
39.71% ( 0) | 27.75% ( -0.01) | 32.55% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 48.11% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.34% ( 0.03) | 57.66% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.58% ( 0.02) | 78.42% ( -0.03) |
| Plymouth Argyle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.65% ( 0.02) | 28.35% ( -0.02) |
