SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Portsmouth | 4 | 5 | 8 |
| 4 | Bolton Wanderers | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| 5 | Exeter City | 4 | 5 | 7 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Derby County | 4 | 1 | 7 |
| 8 | Sheffield Wednesday | 4 | 0 | 7 |
| 9 | Barnsley | 4 | 2 | 6 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 42.34%. A win for Sheffield Wednesday had a probability of 31.26% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.78%) and 2-0 (7.55%). The likeliest Sheffield Wednesday win was 0-1 (8.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Sheffield Wednesday |
42.34% ( 4.82) | 26.4% ( 0.3) | 31.26% ( -5.12) |
| Both teams to score 51.78% ( -2.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.2% ( -2.21) | 52.8% ( 2.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.57% ( -1.92) | 74.43% ( 1.92) |
| Bolton Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.31% ( 1.57) | 24.69% ( -1.56) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.77% ( 2.14) | 59.23% ( -2.14) |
| Sheffield Wednesday Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.75% ( -4.34) | 31.25% ( 4.34) |
