SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 11 | Wycombe Wanderers | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 12 | Plymouth Argyle | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 13 | Barnsley | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Peterborough United | 2 | 4 | 6 |
| 2 | Exeter City | 2 | 4 | 4 |
| 3 | Bolton Wanderers | 2 | 3 | 4 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 39.38%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 34.57% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.53%) and 0-2 (6.69%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 1-0 (8.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Peterborough United |
34.57% ( 0.41) | 26.04% ( 0.1) | 39.38% ( -0.51) |
| Both teams to score 53.87% ( -0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.45% ( -0.38) | 50.54% ( 0.38) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.53% ( -0.33) | 72.46% ( 0.34) |
| Plymouth Argyle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.03% ( 0.07) | 27.97% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 36.4% ( 0.09) | 63.6% ( -0.09) |
| Peterborough United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.79% ( -0.44) | 25.21% ( 0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 40.05% ( -0.62) | 59.95% ( 0.62) |
| Score Analysis |
| Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Peterborough United |
| 1-0 @ 8.98% ( 0.15) 2-1 @ 7.89% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 5.72% ( 0.11)3-1 @ 3.35% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 2.43% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 2.31% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.07% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.82% Total : 34.57% | 1-1 @ 12.37% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 7.05% ( 0.11)2-2 @ 5.43% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.04% | 0-1 @ 9.72% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 8.53% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 6.69% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 3.92% ( -0.08)0-3 @ 3.07% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 2.5% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 1.35% ( -0.05)0-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.55% Total : 39.38% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Arsenal | 29 | 23 | 3 | 3 | 70 | 27 | 43 | 72 |
| 2 | Manchester CityMan City | 28 | 20 | 4 | 4 | 71 | 26 | 45 | 64 |
| 3 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 28 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 46 | 20 | 26 | 53 |
| 4 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 28 | 16 | 5 | 7 | 42 | 37 | 5 | 53 |
| 5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 29 | 15 | 5 | 9 | 53 | 41 | 12 | 50 |
| 6 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 51 | 34 | 17 | 46 |
| 7 | Aston Villa | 29 | 13 | 5 | 11 | 39 | 40 | -1 | 44 |
| 8 | Liverpool | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 48 | 33 | 15 | 43 |
| 9 | Brentford | 29 | 10 | 13 | 6 | 46 | 38 | 8 | 43 |
| 10 | Fulham | 28 | 11 | 6 | 11 | 39 | 39 | 0 | 39 |
| 11 | Chelsea | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 39 |
| 12 | Crystal Palace | 29 | 7 | 9 | 13 | 24 | 39 | -15 | 30 |
| 13 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 29 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 38 | 49 | -11 | 29 |
| 14 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 23 | 42 | -19 | 28 |
| 15 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 26 | 39 | -13 | 27 |
| 16 | Everton | 29 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 23 | 41 | -18 | 27 |
| 17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 29 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 24 | 52 | -28 | 27 |
| 18 | Bournemouth | 29 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 27 | 57 | -30 | 27 |
| 19 | Leicester CityLeicester | 29 | 7 | 4 | 18 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 25 |
| 20 | Southampton | 29 | 6 | 5 | 18 | 23 | 47 | -24 | 23 |
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