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Wednesday, August 10

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Millwall 2-0 Peterborough United

Considering their strong home record, we are backing Millwall to earn three points and stay in the playoff race. Peterborough will be deflated after their relegation was confirmed last weekend and should not provide much of a test. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 68.71%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Peterborough United had a probability of 11.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.55%) and 2-1 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.26%), while for a Peterborough United win it was 0-1 (4.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Millwall would win this match.

Result
MillwallDrawPeterborough United
68.71%19.71%11.59%
Both teams to score 42.9%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.62%49.38%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.57%71.42%
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.69%13.31%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.84%40.16%
Peterborough United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.49%50.51%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.99%85.01%
Score Analysis
    Millwall 68.7%
    Peterborough United 11.59%
    Draw 19.71%
MillwallDrawPeterborough United
2-0 @ 13.67%
1-0 @ 13.55%
2-1 @ 9.34%
3-0 @ 9.19%
3-1 @ 6.28%
4-0 @ 4.63%
4-1 @ 3.16%
3-2 @ 2.14%
5-0 @ 1.87%
5-1 @ 1.28%
4-2 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 68.7%
1-1 @ 9.26%
0-0 @ 6.72%
2-2 @ 3.19%
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 19.71%
0-1 @ 4.59%
1-2 @ 3.16%
0-2 @ 1.57%
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 11.59%

Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Birmingham 2-2 Millwall
Saturday, April 23 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 2-1 Hull City
Monday, April 18 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Preston 1-1 Millwall
Friday, April 15 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 4-1 Barnsley
Saturday, April 9 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 0-1 Swansea
Tuesday, April 5 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Luton 2-2 Millwall
Saturday, April 2 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Peterborough 0-1 Nott'm Forest
Saturday, April 23 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Barnsley 0-2 Peterborough
Monday, April 18 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Peterborough 2-1 Blackburn
Friday, April 15 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Bristol City 1-1 Peterborough
Saturday, April 9 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Peterborough 1-1 Luton
Tuesday, April 5 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Peterborough 0-4 Middlesbrough
Saturday, April 2 at 3pm in Championship
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