SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 63.02%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 16.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.94%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.88%), while for a Morecambe win it was 0-1 (4.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Exeter City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Exeter City | Draw | Morecambe |
63.02% ( -1.92) | 20.82% ( 0.77) | 16.15% ( 1.15) |
| Both teams to score 51.46% ( 0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.6% ( -1.15) | 44.4% ( 1.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.23% ( -1.12) | 66.77% ( 1.12) |
| Exeter City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.54% ( -0.92) | 13.46% ( 0.91) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 59.55% ( -1.86) | 40.45% ( 1.86) |
| Morecambe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.46% ( 0.82) | 40.54% ( -0.82) |
